Tuesday 13 February 2018

Gammon infra POTENTIAL MULTIBAGGER STOCK D12M02Y2018

Gammon infrastructure projects is a pan-India infrastructure development company with a diverse portfolio of assets across ports, road and power. The company has technical and operational experience of around two decades in the infrastructure sector. 
For more info check, http://www.gammoninfra.com/   

NUMBERS - THE LATEST 
Market cap: 315 crores              CMP on Day12 Feb2018: Rs 3.30                     BV: 6.9
Revenue 1HFY18: 57 cr (standalone)      Net profit 1HFY18: 3.8 cr approx      FV: 2 

POSITIVES 
1. After several years of extremely challenging situation, the company has won a new project. There are sufficient indications that the worst is over for the company.
2. Gammon infra divested its stake in 6 projects to Brookfield, and pared down signifiant part of its debt with a 70% reduction in its interest flow.
3. There has also been a financial and organizational re-structuring of the group with a change in the  ownership of the company
4. On the balance sheet of HYFY2018 investments in subsidiaries is worth 1287 crores and long term borrowings is around 30 crores. 

INTERESTING INFO
1. RGBL (Rajahmundry Godaveri Bridge Limited) is one of the operational assets of the company. The project cost is 1071 crores.
2. ICTPL (Indira container terminal private limited) is the flagship project of the ports division. Here the project cost is 1233 crores. During the year, ICTPL achieved a record handling of 6312 vehicles in a single vessel.
3. In VSPL (Vizag Seaport private limited) the company handled 63,24,345 tonnes of cargo in FY2017. Company made a PAT of around 4.5 crores here.
4. Gammon infra shares made a life time low at 2.66 in Oct 2017.

NEGATIVES - POSSIBLE RISKS   
1. Loss making projects are a cause for concern (because of which share price has been battered)
2. Overall infra space has been out of favour since the last few years which had a direct effect on the share price of the company.         

MY TAKE 
Gammon infra is a penny stock. The last 5 years have been extremely challenging for the company almost on the brink of questioning its potential to survive. The management has taken several steps to streamline the company and position it for future growth. Infrastructure is an area of focus for the Modi government, with a massive spending outlay. Gammon is well positioned to bag some projects. Recent win is evidence of that. 

The cumulative project cost of the company's infrastructure assets is around 7500 crores. Most of these are monoply projects, with revenue concession periods of around 30 years. The market cap of the company is 300 crores. So for an astute and patient investor, the opportunity is obvious. To make the most of this, it requires tremendous conviction and huge patience.  

Gammon infra is a potential multibagger!!      


Disclosure: I own shares in Gammon infra.       


For commercial collaboration, consultation and JV ideas;
                                                   you can contact me via zorbayogi9@gmail.com


Important Note: Potential multibaggers are those stocks which have potential to give 100 - 500% profits. Obviously such returns take time. Probably 3 - 4 years or more. Short term volatility is the reality of the stock market and that will always happen. Short term movements(upside and downside) are impossible to predict. 

Only invest funds that you will not need for the next 3 - 4 years. As long as you buy a stock for the right reason and are convinced about the future prospects of the company, there is no need to worry if the share price goes down and stays down for a period of time after you buy; provided you have followed the cardinal stock market mantra BUY LOW.     

Very important note: The objective of this blog is to share knowledge and info about multibagger ideas/opportunities. Neither is this trading website nor an analyst website nor a Buy/Sell call website. For stock market success, always do your home work, own analysis and make your own decisions.


Sunday 4 February 2018

Aspinwall and Company POTENTIAL MULTIBAGGER STOCK D04M02Y2018

Aspinwall is in the business of coffee, logistics and plantations. Headquartered in Goa, this company has a phenomenal history spanning over a century.  
For more info check, http://www.aspinwall.in   

NUMBERS - THE LATEST   
Market cap: 347 crores                 CMP on Day3 Feb2018: Rs 444                    BV: 170
Revenue FY17: 244 cr                  Net profit FY17: 7.5 cr approx                   FV: 10   

POSITIVES    
1. Logistics division of the company is doing very well. So is the coffee division with some global price volatility
2. For entire FY17 the company made net profit of 7.5 cr whereas in first 9 months of FY2018 they did a NP of around 14 CR
3. Aspinwall is steadily increasing its investment is almost all its divisions. On the other hand, they are also reducing their debts.
4. All the divisions of Aspinwall have a bright future.  

INTERESTING INFO      1. This company was founded by a British businessman called as Aspinwall. So this is a pre-independence company
2. The current promoters of the company belong to a royal family of Kerala.
3. The company exports a substantial portion of its coffee. They also own a brand
4. Ace investor Porinju Veliyath has been an early investor in this company, through his PMS.  

NEGATIVES - POSSIBLE RISKS         
1. Global commodity price fluctuations could impact the company.
2. As Aspinwall in listed only on NSE its visibility could be muted.  

MY TAKE   
Aspinwall & Company is a wonderful investment opportunity. As this company got listed only in 2016 and that too only in NSE, very few people know about this company. This can be truly called as a hidden gem.   

This is a high quality company, with a phenomenal history and track record. Stable and prominent promoters and sound management makes this company an obvious choice both from a medium as well as a long term perspective.  

Aspinwall is an high potential multibagger!!


Disclosure: I own shares in Aspinwall.


For commercial collaboration, consultation and JV ideas;
                                                  you can contact me via zorbayogi9@gmail.com    



Important Note: Potential multibaggers are those stocks which have potential to give 100 - 500% profits. Obviously such returns take time. Probably 3 - 4 years or more. Short term volatility is the reality of the stock market and that will always happen. Short term movements(upside and downside) are impossible to predict.
Only invest funds that you will not need for the next 3 - 4 years. As long as you buy a stock for the right reason and are convinced about the future prospects of the company, there is no need to worry if the share price goes down and stays down for a period of time after you buy; provided you have followed the cardinal stock market mantra BUY LOW.       

Very important note: The objective of this blog is to share knowledge and info about multibagger ideas/opportunities. Neither is this trading website nor an analyst website nor a Buy/Sell call website. For stock market success, always do your home work, own analysis and make your own decisions.

Saturday 3 February 2018

Aurionpro Solutions POTENTIAL MULTIBAGGER STOCK D03M02Y2018

Founded in 1997 Aurionpro solutions is a IT (software) products company. This company has 24 offices in 14 countries. While its North American headquarters is located in San Ramon, California; its global headquarters is located in Mumbai.
For more info check, http://www.aurionpro.com/

NUMBERS - THE LATEST
Market cap: 459 crores                  CMP on Day2 Feb2018: Rs 194                      BV: 281
Revenue FY17: 638 cr                     Net profit FY17: 43 cr approx                    FV: 10

POSITIVES
1. The transformation of the company is evident in the results of the last 2 quarters, where it has managed a operating profit margin of around 17%
2. The company has over 1300 employees and around 29 Fortune 500 customers.
3. Aurionpro sold its global Access Management business to KPMG for around 200 crores.
4. For half year FY2018 the company EBITDA grew by 43% and net profit grew by 76% and the story of transformation has just begun.

INTERESTING INFO 
1. Aurionpro which recently sold one of its division to KPMG at approx 200 crores is available at a market cap of around 450 crores.
2. It will be really interesting to see how this 200 CR will be utilized. Common sense and logic tells me a portion would go for retiring debt, one portion to invest in growth areas, one portion as reserves and one portion as a substantial dividend. We need to watch this space.
3. Aurionpro is participated in Money2020 to be held in Las Vegas in Oct 2017
4. Company is winning new orders from diverse set of customers from various geographies. Details can be found in their website

NEGATIVES - POSSIBLE RISKS     
1. Any global political or economic shock could impact the share price of this company.
2. As the promoter holding is relatively low for this small cap, this stock could be highly volatile.

MY TAKE
Aurionpro solutions is a company that has undergone a structural transformation. Over a period of 4 years, the management has methodically transformed this company from a software services company to almost a software products company. The positive consequences of this transformation will play out over the next 1 - 3 years.

The focus areas of the company are Enterprise security and Digital innovation. Both these are high growth areas that offer tremendous potential. Apart from this the company is also into various banking, logistics and government solutions. Looking at the future scope and trajectory of this company, it is deeply undervalued, and all set to make higher highs over the coming months and years.  

Aurionpro is an obvious potential multibagger!!


Disclosure: I own shares in Aurionpro.        


For commercial collaboration, consultation and JV ideas;
                                                   you can contact me via zorbayogi9@gmail.com  


Important Note: Potential multibaggers are those stocks which have potential to give 100 - 500% profits. Obviously such returns take time. Probably 3 - 4 years or more. Short term volatility is the reality of the stock market and that will always happen. Short term movements(upside and downside) are impossible to predict.
Only invest funds that you will not need for the next 3 - 4 years. As long as you buy a stock for the right reason and are convinced about the future prospects of the company, there is no need to worry if the share price goes down and stays down for a period of time after you buy; provided you have followed the cardinal stock market mantra BUY LOW.       

Very important note: The objective of this blog is to share knowledge and info about multibagger ideas/opportunities. Neither is this trading website nor an analyst website nor a Buy/Sell call website. For stock market success, always do your home work, own analysis and make your own decisions.