Monday 29 September 2014

MULTIBAGGERS - WHAT ? (3) D29M09Y2014

Series 1 - Part 3       

In my last post, I have listed several (past) multibaggers from 2 time perspectives. "Few years" perspective and "Few months" perspective. 
The latest one year perspective does not happen very often. I call it a - mad "bull surge" rally
How ever there are chances of this happening a couple of times every decade. And if you are well positioned for such a phenomenon; the benefits in a very short period of time can be enormous.

SOME OBSERVATIONS ABOUT MAKING MULTIBAGGING PROFITS / GAINS  

A. Time     

By now it must be quite obvious that, one of the most important aspect to make multibagging profits is TIME. That time in definable terms is "few years". It could be 2, 3, 4 years. In rare cases you could get your rewards in a matter of few months. 
So the learning is, after you buy/add/accumulate a stock; you got to give it time to mature. Because time is such an important aspect, it is better to treat this as a "journey". If you get all the elements of the journey correct, every multibagger journey can be profitable.      

B. Selection       

Stock selection is a very important aspect. You have to get this correct (as this is the first step). Here the key word is "Quality"; it is very essential to buy a good quality company if you desire multibagging profits. 
My definition of a good quality company: A company with a good quality product / service, with a visible demand (requirement) of the service / product over the next 2, 4, 5 years; honest / trustworthy promoters, capable management, decent processes; adequate communication with investors, transparent and understandable financial reporting.  
A good website, a past track record, a consistent dividend policy, a good/reliable brand; would be nice to have.   

C. Price    

At what price you buy a stock is the most important determining factor, as to how well you will do with your multibagger. 
Thumb rule is simple: Buy the stock at as low price as possible. Ensure that the stock is truly undervalued. 
Remember, there is a difference in a stock being "just cheap" and "being undervalued"    

D. Appropriate Action       

"Buy low" and "Sell high" are the only 2 actions needed, after identification of a stock is done. These 2 simple actions will ensure that you profit from your stocks, again and again, and again. 

E. Conviction and Patience      

As time is an essential aspect of a multibagger journey, it is important that your conviction in the company behind the stock much be VERY HIGH.     
Market corrections from time to time and sometimes, even market crashes are a reality of the stock markets. During such time, panic sets in and people will be tempted to join the herd and sell their stocks.  
Conviction is what really helps people to "accept the pain" and ride through the rough waters without selling their stocks.     

Series 1 (Multibagger, What?) comes to an end now.   

Wish and Hope that more and more people learn how to make "multibagging profits" from potential multibaggers.  

All the best!!


Sign off note

Prime Minister Narendra Modi speech at the Madison Square gardens in New York yesterday, was easily the most inspiring speech by an indian leader of our times.

For the first time in my memory, I really felt that something good can happen to India. More than anything I felt that "I was at the right place at the right time"

If things work out even half as well as our PM has envisioned; indian stock markets will throw up several "rupee millionaires" and may be even a substantial number of "dollar millionaires". 

Wish you all a wonderful and multibagging journey in the years ahead. Cheers!!

Sunday 21 September 2014

MULTIBAGGERS - WHAT ? D21M09Y2014

Series 1 - Part 2 (previous post was Part 1)

Important Question: What is a multibagger ?    

A multibagger is a stock that has multiplied its investor's money. (this is PAST)  

More important Question: What is a potential multibagger ? 

A potential multibagger is a stock which can multiply your money. (in the FUTURE)  

In other words, it is a stock which can provide you with multifold profits/returns

If a stock gives you 100% profits (doubles your money) then it is a 2-bagger.
If a stock gives you 300% returns (quadruples your money) then it is a 4-bagger
If a stock gives you 700% returns, then it is a 8-bagger
If it gives you 900% profits, then it is 10-bagger

....we can go on.....     

Examples of recent (past) multibaggers: Over last 1 - 2 years        

 1. Granules India (Pharma): 95 rs (as 22Mar2013) and 929 rs (price as on 19Sep2014)
          Almost a 10-bagger (profit 900%): Time frame: 18 months (approx)  

2. JK Tyre (Tyres): 82 rs (as 28Aug2013) and 498 rs (price as on 19Sep2014)
          Almost a 6-bagger (profit 500%): Time frame: 12 months (approx)

3. eClerx (IT/BPO): 600 rs (as 25Mar2013) and 1440 rs (price as on 02Sep2014)
          Almost a 2-bagger (profit 120%): Time frame: 18 months (approx)

4. Gati (Logistics): 24 rs (as 01Oct2013) and 190 rs (price as on 12Sep2014)
          Almost a 8-bagger (profit 700%): Time frame: 12 months (approx)   

5. Himatsingka Seide (Textile): 30 rs (as 26Mar2013) and 100 rs (price as on 12Sep2014)
          Almost a 3-bagger (profit 200%): Time frame: 18 months (approx) 

6. RS Software (IT/software): 120 rs (as 16Aug2013) and 820 rs (price as on 18Sep2014)
          Almost a 6-bagger (profit 500%): Time frame: 12 months (approx) 

7. Gabriel India (Auto ancillary): 20 rs (as 24Jun2013) and 84 rs (price as on 12Sep2014)
          Almost a 4-bagger (profit 300%): Time frame: 15 months (approx)  

VERY IMPORTANT POINT:
Observe that this happened in the scenario of a massive bull run (hope rally) in the indian stock markets with a bullish backdrop of global stock markets driven by easy liquidity. This is a unique situation (just like this, every other situation in the market will be different).     


Phenomenal (past) multibaggers: Over last decade (adjusted for stock splits and bonuses)  

1. Shriram Transport (Finance): 25 rs (as 07Jul2004) and 1000 rs (price as on 13Jun2014)
          Almost a 40-bagger (profit 3900%): Time frame: 10 years (approx)      

2. Lupin (Pharma): 70 rs (as 09Mar2004) and 1400 rs (price as on 19Sep2014)
          Almost a 20-bagger (profit 1900%): Time frame: 10 years (approx)   

3. AVT Natural (Agro): 90 ps (as 24Jun2004) and 50 rs (price as on 19Sep2014)
          Almost a 50-bagger (profit 5000%): Time frame: 10 years (approx)    

4. Dabur India (FMCG): 10 rs (as 02Jul2004) and 200 rs (price as on 20Aug2014)
          Almost 20-bagger (profit 1900%): Time frame: 10 years (approx)    

5. Atul Auto (Auto): 30 rs (as 26Mar2013) and 100 rs (price as on 12Sep2014)
          Almost a 3-bagger (profit 200%): Time frame: 18 months (approx)    

IMPORTANT OBSERVATION:
Multibaggers are not sector dependent. Most of them are very high quality companies.   


MY (multibagger yogi) multibaggers (Prices at which I bought and sold - Approx)     

1. Marksans Pharma (Pharma): 12 rs (as 22Nov2013) and 48 rs (price as on 03Sep2014)
          Almost a 4-bagger (profit 300%): Time frame: 10 months (approx)    

2. Prakash Constrowell (Construction): 90 ps (as 15May2014) and 3.60 rs (price on 11Aug2014)        
          Almost a 4-bagger (profit 300%): Time frame: 14 months      

3. Trigyn Tech (IT/software): 21 rs (as 13Jan2014) and 52 rs (price as on 09Sep2014)
          Almost a 2/3-bagger (profit 150%): Time frame: 9 months (approx)   

4. Firstsource Solutions (IT/BPO): 20 rs (as 18Dec2013) and STILL HOLDING    


In this post, I have listed around 15 examples of past multibaggers. If you search enough, you will be able to find at least another 20 - 25 examples (of the past multibaggers) easily. 

Try and search for some. It will be a learning exercise as well as fun. Cheers!!



Thursday 18 September 2014

MULTIBAGGERS - WHAT, WHY and HOW ??? D18M09Y2014

Dear Friends, Fellow travelers, Investors and Traders!!

As demonstrated by my stock picks, my focus is potential multibaggers and I write about a company only if it has a reasonable chance, and high probability of its stock of becoming a multibagger, in the time frame of 2, 3, 4 years.   

Over the next few days, I will explain in detail, with examples, the meaning and importance of the single most important word in my investment life, M U L T I B A G G E R.

During this journey, we will find answers to some questions:  

What is a multibagger ?
What is the significance of a multibagger ?
Why is a multibagger important ?
How can multibaggers be a game changer in my life ?
How do we find a potential multibagger ?
How does a stock become a multibagger ?
How does one benefit to the maximum from a multibagger? etc etc
    

(more questions welcome)

It can be seen from stock market success stories, that investment and extraction of maximum upside potential from a potential multibagger stock is what differentiates a normal investor from a super successful investor

Identification and traveling the distance with a stock that provides multibagging profits is what differentiates the best from the rest. 
 
As I go about writing on the topic of multibaggers, feel free to express your thoughts, and ask questions, queries, doubts and clarifications if any.


Keep learning!!  

Keep minting!!