Sunday, 21 September 2014

MULTIBAGGERS - WHAT ? D21M09Y2014

Series 1 - Part 2 (previous post was Part 1)

Important Question: What is a multibagger ?    

A multibagger is a stock that has multiplied its investor's money. (this is PAST)  

More important Question: What is a potential multibagger ? 

A potential multibagger is a stock which can multiply your money. (in the FUTURE)  

In other words, it is a stock which can provide you with multifold profits/returns

If a stock gives you 100% profits (doubles your money) then it is a 2-bagger.
If a stock gives you 300% returns (quadruples your money) then it is a 4-bagger
If a stock gives you 700% returns, then it is a 8-bagger
If it gives you 900% profits, then it is 10-bagger

....we can go on.....     

Examples of recent (past) multibaggers: Over last 1 - 2 years        

 1. Granules India (Pharma): 95 rs (as 22Mar2013) and 929 rs (price as on 19Sep2014)
          Almost a 10-bagger (profit 900%): Time frame: 18 months (approx)  

2. JK Tyre (Tyres): 82 rs (as 28Aug2013) and 498 rs (price as on 19Sep2014)
          Almost a 6-bagger (profit 500%): Time frame: 12 months (approx)

3. eClerx (IT/BPO): 600 rs (as 25Mar2013) and 1440 rs (price as on 02Sep2014)
          Almost a 2-bagger (profit 120%): Time frame: 18 months (approx)

4. Gati (Logistics): 24 rs (as 01Oct2013) and 190 rs (price as on 12Sep2014)
          Almost a 8-bagger (profit 700%): Time frame: 12 months (approx)   

5. Himatsingka Seide (Textile): 30 rs (as 26Mar2013) and 100 rs (price as on 12Sep2014)
          Almost a 3-bagger (profit 200%): Time frame: 18 months (approx) 

6. RS Software (IT/software): 120 rs (as 16Aug2013) and 820 rs (price as on 18Sep2014)
          Almost a 6-bagger (profit 500%): Time frame: 12 months (approx) 

7. Gabriel India (Auto ancillary): 20 rs (as 24Jun2013) and 84 rs (price as on 12Sep2014)
          Almost a 4-bagger (profit 300%): Time frame: 15 months (approx)  

VERY IMPORTANT POINT:
Observe that this happened in the scenario of a massive bull run (hope rally) in the indian stock markets with a bullish backdrop of global stock markets driven by easy liquidity. This is a unique situation (just like this, every other situation in the market will be different).     


Phenomenal (past) multibaggers: Over last decade (adjusted for stock splits and bonuses)  

1. Shriram Transport (Finance): 25 rs (as 07Jul2004) and 1000 rs (price as on 13Jun2014)
          Almost a 40-bagger (profit 3900%): Time frame: 10 years (approx)      

2. Lupin (Pharma): 70 rs (as 09Mar2004) and 1400 rs (price as on 19Sep2014)
          Almost a 20-bagger (profit 1900%): Time frame: 10 years (approx)   

3. AVT Natural (Agro): 90 ps (as 24Jun2004) and 50 rs (price as on 19Sep2014)
          Almost a 50-bagger (profit 5000%): Time frame: 10 years (approx)    

4. Dabur India (FMCG): 10 rs (as 02Jul2004) and 200 rs (price as on 20Aug2014)
          Almost 20-bagger (profit 1900%): Time frame: 10 years (approx)    

5. Atul Auto (Auto): 30 rs (as 26Mar2013) and 100 rs (price as on 12Sep2014)
          Almost a 3-bagger (profit 200%): Time frame: 18 months (approx)    

IMPORTANT OBSERVATION:
Multibaggers are not sector dependent. Most of them are very high quality companies.   


MY (multibagger yogi) multibaggers (Prices at which I bought and sold - Approx)     

1. Marksans Pharma (Pharma): 12 rs (as 22Nov2013) and 48 rs (price as on 03Sep2014)
          Almost a 4-bagger (profit 300%): Time frame: 10 months (approx)    

2. Prakash Constrowell (Construction): 90 ps (as 15May2014) and 3.60 rs (price on 11Aug2014)        
          Almost a 4-bagger (profit 300%): Time frame: 14 months      

3. Trigyn Tech (IT/software): 21 rs (as 13Jan2014) and 52 rs (price as on 09Sep2014)
          Almost a 2/3-bagger (profit 150%): Time frame: 9 months (approx)   

4. Firstsource Solutions (IT/BPO): 20 rs (as 18Dec2013) and STILL HOLDING    


In this post, I have listed around 15 examples of past multibaggers. If you search enough, you will be able to find at least another 20 - 25 examples (of the past multibaggers) easily. 

Try and search for some. It will be a learning exercise as well as fun. Cheers!!



34 comments:

  1. Hello Sir,

    Trigyn moving into EPC biz ???
    Ur valuable take pls ?

    Regards

    HK

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Dear Mr HK,

      In general, it is not a good idea for companies to diversify into unrelated areas. So I do not view it positively that Trigyn has gone into EPC business.

      I see no synergy or co-relation between software services and EPC business.

      Bad examples in the past:
      Satyam getting into infrastructure / construction business
      Alok industries getting into real estate business.
      Karuturi global getting into internet business

      Most of them end up badly.

      Based on this development, I would be very cautious about Trigyn.

      Good luck!!

      Delete
    2. Thank u sir. I m a small investor and new to ur blog. Thank u very much.

      Rgds

      HK

      Delete
  2. Multibahger like rakesh junjunwala porfolio titan financial technology voltas

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Mr Lalit ji,

      Other RJ multibaggers are Karur Vysya bank, Lupin, Firstsource solutions.

      Best Regards!!

      Delete
  3. commendable series & analysis ,,, An avid follower of ZY posts :)

    ReplyDelete
  4. Sirji,
    Your suggestion on Neo Corp International

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Dear JP,

      Neo Corp is a small cap company. Decent management.

      Stock price is undervalued. Has potential to double from here (probably could even triple)

      But there are 3 problem areas. High debt (around 250 cr); low profit margins and low promoter holding.

      Compared to Neo Corp, the following stocks offer better prospects:

      Datamatics, Texmo, Firstsource, Nectar life

      Best Regards!!

      Delete
  5. hi MY,want yr views on chandraprabhu,bodal chem and sudar as potential multibaggers

    ReplyDelete
  6. Small cap become large cap company bluechip company multibagger hai.like infosys , cipla ,hdfc, uti bank , vakarangi software, loed electrical, astral pipe , selon exploral, suprim petro

    ReplyDelete
  7. Dear Sir,

    Your suggestions are great.
    And I am happy to know that you are also holding Firstsource solutions.
    Today Firstsource has fallen 6% and came down to 38!
    So, what is your suggestion - Hold or sell or buy more?

    Any other good multibagger which we can buy now (which has corrected in last 1 week)?

    Thanks,
    Narendra

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Dear Narendra,

      Why on earth would I sell Firstsource ? The thought of selling has never crossed my mind at all (not even a single time).

      I own 9000 shares in FS at an average price of around 24 rs. For the next 2 years or until the price crosses 120 rs (which ever is earlier); I will not even consider selling Firstsource Solutions.

      For people who do not own Firstsource, the current market correction has provided excellent entry opportunities. For people who already own, they can definitely add more.

      Best Regards!!

      Delete
    2. The other stocks that have corrected and can be added/accumulated are Datamatics global, Texmo pipes, Edelweiss financial and Asahi Songwon colors.

      All are potential multibaggers with a 2 years time frame.

      All the best!!

      Delete
    3. Mr Narendra,

      MY targets for Firstsource solutions:

      Levels 1: 60 - 80 rs
      Levels 2: 100 - 120 rs
      Levels 3: 160 - 180 rs

      Time frame: 1, 2, 3 years

      Spend 2 hours on the company website and another 2 hours reading the latest annual report of FSL.

      You will understand the reason for my bullishness. Cheers!!

      Delete
  8. Dear MY,

    In a nutshell, do you still believe Morepen will be a multibagger?

    Regards

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Dear Mahmood,

      Multibagging profits are dependent on 2 important factors.

      1. The price you buy the stock
      2. The time you are willing to travel the journey.

      Basic rule: Good quality companies only.

      The same holds good for Morepen labs.

      How ever now, it is in the middle of a "pump and dump" operation by operators and market manipulators.

      During such time, it is very difficult to say anything.

      I prefer to stay away from companies where operators get involved.

      RegardS!!

      Delete
    2. Dear MY,

      Thank you, Dude you're a Warlord when it comes to stocks, nice to have someone like you around while investing. Really appreciate.

      Beside Firstsource & Texmo, do you recommend any other cos?

      Regards

      Delete
  9. Hi Yogiji!
    I hold Visesh Info, now price is continuously down, so i fear to hold continuously, please suggest me price is recover if any chances is coming days.
    What is the target price.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hello Ram ji,

      Visesh info is a bad quality company. If some one reads the last 2 years annual report, it will become obvious.

      Plus, it is in the clutches of operators. So very difficult to predict price movements. Have some patience and sell off when ever there is a rise.

      Next time, make sure that, you buy only good quality companies.

      If you buy junk / trash stocks, u will only be responsible for the consequences.

      Regards!!

      Delete
    2. Yogiji!
      If any chances possible visesh info to cross rs.80 level in coming days.

      Delete
  10. what say about lactose india and syncom formulation and syncom healthcare

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hello ZY !!!

    I really appreciate your research, knowledge and vision. I am holding few stocks in my portfolio which i would like to share with you and would like your expert opinion n the same. Please advise me which to sell or any buy for now..
    1. A2Z MAINTENANCE
    2. ARSS INFRA
    3. ASAHI SONGWON
    4. BROOKS LAB
    5. DATAMATICS
    6. FIRST SOURCE
    7. INDIABULLS POWER
    8. INDIABULLS WHOLESALE
    9. NECTAR LIFE
    10. NEOCORP
    11. POCHIRAJU
    12. PRAKASHCONSTRO
    13. PUNJLLOYD
    14. SEAMEC
    15. SUBEX
    16. SUDAR
    17. TANLA
    18. TEXMO
    19. THEMIS MEDI
    20. VEER ENERGY
    21 YBRANT


    Thanks !!

    ReplyDelete
  12. Hi Sir,i am new to the stock market..Pls suggest me some good companies(around 10 companies) to invest for long term(10 years).Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Dear Partha,

      Ten stocks are too much.

      Until your total investment capital does not exceed 10 lakhs (at least) stick to 4 companies. Max 5.

      Cheers!!

      Delete
  13. Sir what's your view on vidhi dye stuff.. It has had stellar two quarters..and expecting another great one

    ReplyDelete
  14. Dear sir,
    kindly check syncom formulations.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Indian markets are expected to trade weak today because of weakness seen in global markets. COMEX Gold has given a positive break out on daily charts and is expected to trade in new upward range for a while now. Telecom stocks are in focus because of spectrum auction. Crude could head further down from current level. MCX Gold will make its movement according to equity markets today, chance are indicating its upward movement.
    NCDEX Tips

    ReplyDelete
  16. Kindly suggest for syncom formulations

    ReplyDelete
  17. Hi sir uttamvalue is good stock for 10 years

    ReplyDelete